tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Seattle via Los Angeles: arrives on time 87%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:03 LAX
    UA 4649 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 03m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 LAX → 12:30 SEA
    DL 1714 · Delta · 2h 54m · 93% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 67 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip6h 34mSBA 06:00 to SEA 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.