tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Portland via Los Angeles: arrives on time 90%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:03 LAX
    UA 4649 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 03m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:18 LAX → 11:41 PDX
    F9 4499 · Frontier · 2h 23m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip5h 41mSBA 06:00 to PDX 11:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.