tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → San Diego via Los Angeles: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:03 LAX
    UA 4649 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 03m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 57m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 LAX → 10:08 SAN
    UA 4643 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 08m · 89% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 08mSBA 06:00 to SAN 10:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.