tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Las Vegas via Los Angeles: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:03 LAX
    UA 4649 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 03m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:20 LAX → 09:42 LAS
    UA 1006 · United · 1h 22m · 91% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 3h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip3h 42mSBA 06:00 to LAS 09:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.