tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Chicago via Los Angeles: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:03 LAX
    UA 4649 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 03m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:15 LAX → 14:35 ORD
    UA 1946 · United · 4h 20m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 35mSBA 06:00 to ORD 14:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.