tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:03 LAX
    UA 4649 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 03m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:37 LAX → 10:06 PHX
    UA 659 · United · 1h 29m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip4h 06mSBA 06:00 to PHX 10:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.