tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Oakland via Los Angeles: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:03 LAX
    UA 4649 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 03m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 57m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:00 LAX → 10:20 OAK
    WN 3014 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 20mSBA 06:00 to OAK 10:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.