tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:40 AVL → 07:52 ORD
    UA 4651 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 12m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:35 ORD → 12:56 LGA
    DL 2252 · Delta · 2h 21m · 90% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 16mAVL 06:40 to LGA 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.