tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:40 AVL → 07:52 ORD
    UA 4651 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 12m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:45 ORD → 13:27 MSP
    AA 3719 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 42m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Asheville). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 143 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 53m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 47mAVL 06:40 to MSP 13:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.