tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Arcata/Eureka → Denver via San Francisco: arrives on time 45%

  1. 14:05 ACV → 15:22 SFO
    UA 4655 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 17m · 57% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 58m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:20 SFO → 22:58 DEN
    WN 3642 · Southwest · 2h 38m · 50% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Arcata/Eureka). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 58m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip7h 53mACV 14:05 to DEN 22:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.