tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 65%

  1. 10:41 AVL → 11:53 ORD
    UA 4656 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 12m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 ORD → 18:00 EWR
    UA 2329 · United · 2h 35m · 75% on time, 13.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (13.5% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 19mAVL 10:41 to EWR 18:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.