tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 41%

  1. 09:00 ASE → 13:04 ORD
    UA 4669 · United, flown by SkyWest · 3h 04m · 71% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:55 ORD → 17:10 ATL
    UA 356 · United · 2h 15m · 75% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 2 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 10mASE 09:00 to ATL 17:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.