tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 39%

  1. 18:24 BNA → 20:30 ORD
    UA 4679 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 06m · 59% on time, 6.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 ORD → 23:44 IND
    UA 3660 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 80% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (6.2% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 20mBNA 18:24 to IND 23:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.