tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 44%

  1. 10:35 CLT → 11:59 ORD
    UA 4680 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 86% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 ORD → 15:10 TVC
    UA 6033 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 63% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 35mCLT 10:35 to TVC 15:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.