tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cedar Rapids → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 36%

  1. 14:33 CID → 16:00 ORD
    UA 4691 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 65% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 ORD → 20:10 DCA
    UA 456 · United · 2h 10m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Cedar Rapids). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 37mCID 14:33 to DCA 20:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.