tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 29%

  1. 15:41 ILM → 17:29 ORD
    UA 4699 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 48m · 78% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 ORD → 21:29 CLT
    UA 1748 · United · 2h 14m · 43% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip5h 48mILM 15:41 to CLT 21:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.