tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:41 ILM → 17:29 ORD
    UA 4699 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 48m · 78% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:07 ORD → 23:39 EWR
    UA 759 · United · 2h 32m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 58mILM 15:41 to EWR 23:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.