tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Nashville via Los Angeles: arrives on time 90%

  1. 18:54 PHX → 20:31 LAX
    UA 4722 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:59 LAX → 06:08 BNA +1 day
    AA 2149 · American · 4h 09m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 14mPHX 18:54 to BNA 06:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.