tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 84%

  1. 18:54 PHX → 20:31 LAX
    UA 4722 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:55 LAX → 08:30 JFK +1 day
    DL 915 · Delta · 5h 35m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 36mPHX 18:54 to JFK 08:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.