tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Santa Barbara via Los Angeles: arrives on time 87%

  1. 18:54 PHX → 20:31 LAX
    UA 4722 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 13m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:44 LAX → 23:44 SBA
    UA 4796 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 13m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 50mPHX 18:54 to SBA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.