tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Dulles via Los Angeles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 18:54 PHX → 20:31 LAX
    UA 4722 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:30 LAX → 07:33 IAD +1 day
    UA 2282 · United · 5h 03m · 89% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 134 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip9h 39mPHX 18:54 to IAD 07:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.