tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Dallas-Fort Worth via San Francisco: arrives on time 56%

  1. 15:30 MRY → 16:28 SFO
    UA 4729 · United, flown by SkyWest · 58m · 62% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 SFO → 00:37 DFW +1 day
    UA 2478 · United · 3h 47m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Monterey). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 07mMRY 15:30 to DFW 00:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.