tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 44%

  1. 13:30 MKE → 14:40 ORD
    UA 4748 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 10m · 64% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:59 ORD → 17:27 STL
    UA 4416 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 28m · 63% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip3h 57mMKE 13:30 to STL 17:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.