tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Dallas-Fort Worth via Chicago: arrives on time 47%

  1. 18:15 DAY → 18:51 ORD
    UA 4749 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 80% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 ORD → 22:36 DFW
    UA 1673 · United · 2h 46m · 65% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Dayton). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 21mDAY 18:15 to DFW 22:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.