tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 63%

  1. 18:15 DAY → 18:51 ORD
    UA 4749 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 80% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 ORD → 00:57 PHL +1 day
    UA 1744 · United · 2h 12m · 74% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 54m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 42mDAY 18:15 to PHL 00:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.