tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 18:15 DAY → 18:51 ORD
    UA 4749 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 80% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 ORD → 22:01 DEN
    UA 767 · United · 3h 01m · 71% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Dayton). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 46mDAY 18:15 to DEN 22:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.