tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Billings → Chicago via Denver: arrives on time 51%

  1. 18:00 BIL → 19:52 DEN
    UA 4758 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 52m · 71% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 DEN → 00:44 ORD +1 day
    UA 2649 · United · 2h 39m · 71% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Billings). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 44mBIL 18:00 to ORD 00:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.