tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → New York via Denver: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:50 DSM → 06:59 DEN
    UA 4777 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 09m · 89% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:49 DEN → 15:46 LGA
    UA 2446 · United · 3h 57m · 83% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 56mDSM 05:50 to LGA 15:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.