tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Midland → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:00 MAF → 07:30 DFW
    AA 4907 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 79% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:50 DFW → 11:19 PHX
    AA 2990 · American · 2h 29m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Midland). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 19mMAF 06:00 to PHX 11:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.