tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Los Angeles via Chicago: arrives on time 44%

  1. 18:10 CLE → 19:02 ORD
    AA 4909 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 54m · 59% on time, 11.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 ORD → 00:52 LAX +1 day
    AA 1209 · American · 4h 22m · 53% on time, 5.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Cleveland). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 163 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (11.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.1% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip9h 42mCLE 18:10 to LAX 00:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.