Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Buffalo → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 30%
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16:48 BUF → 18:03 ORDAA 4913 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 15m · 58% on time, 10.1% cancelled
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1h 37m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:40 ORD → 21:25 BNAAA 6326 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 53% on time, 9.9% cancelled
Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (10.1% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 37mBUF 16:48 to BNA 21:25, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.