tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:08 MKE → 07:30 ORD
    AA 4914 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 22m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 ORD → 13:59 DCA
    AA 4809 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 14m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 51mMKE 06:08 to DCA 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.