Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Philadelphia via Seattle: arrives on time 44%

  1. 18:48 LAX → 21:45 SEA
    AA 4920 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 57m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 SEA → 06:48 PHL +1 day
    AA 2522 · American · 5h 13m · 86% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip9h 00mLAX 18:48 to PHL 06:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.