tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → San Jose via Phoenix: arrives on time 39%

  1. 18:50 SLC → 19:37 PHX
    AA 4928 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 47m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:51 PHX → 22:41 SJC
    AA 1197 · American · 1h 50m · 62% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 51mSLC 18:50 to SJC 22:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.