tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Reno via Phoenix: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:50 SLC → 19:37 PHX
    AA 4928 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 47m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:38 PHX → 22:25 RNO
    AA 1765 · American · 1h 47m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 35mSLC 18:50 to RNO 22:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.