tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Sacramento via Phoenix: arrives on time 42%

  1. 18:50 SLC → 19:37 PHX
    AA 4928 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 47m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:48 PHX → 22:42 SMF
    AA 2048 · American · 1h 54m · 68% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 52mSLC 18:50 to SMF 22:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.