tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 36%

  1. 18:50 SLC → 19:37 PHX
    AA 4928 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 47m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:38 PHX → 22:07 LAX
    AA 3204 · American · 1h 29m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 17mSLC 18:50 to LAX 22:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.