tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Portland via Phoenix: arrives on time 31%

  1. 18:50 SLC → 19:37 PHX
    AA 4928 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 47m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 PHX → 23:08 PDX
    AA 561 · American · 2h 43m · 68% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 18mSLC 18:50 to PDX 23:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.