tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Redmond via Phoenix: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:50 SLC → 19:37 PHX
    AA 4928 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 47m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:26 PHX → 22:59 RDM
    AA 3597 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 33m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Redmond is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 09mSLC 18:50 to RDM 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.