tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 35%

  1. 15:48 CMH → 16:30 ORD
    AA 4950 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 42m · 82% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:36 ORD → 21:00 EWR
    AA 3253 · American · 2h 24m · 47% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip5h 12mCMH 15:48 to EWR 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.