tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:06 FSD → 09:05 ORD
    AA 4952 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 59m · 85% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 11:44 DEN
    AA 1744 · American · 2h 44m · 85% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Sioux Falls). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 38mFSD 07:06 to DEN 11:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.