tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 63%

  1. 07:06 FSD → 09:05 ORD
    AA 4952 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 59m · 85% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 4h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:35 ORD → 16:47 ATL
    AA 4759 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 12m · 68% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Sioux Falls). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 225 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 30m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 41mFSD 07:06 to ATL 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.