tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 33%

  1. 18:12 DEN → 19:53 LAX
    AA 4958 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 41m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:41 LAX → 22:09 PHX
    AA 2293 · American · 1h 28m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 57mDEN 18:12 to PHX 22:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.