tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 63%

  1. 09:02 DSM → 10:44 ORD
    AA 4969 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 42m · 90% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:40 ORD → 14:54 PHL
    AA 1743 · American · 2h 14m · 74% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 52mDSM 09:02 to PHL 14:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.