tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Denver via Des Moines: arrives on time 90%

  1. 06:59 ORD → 08:32 DSM
    AA 4969 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 33m · 80% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Des Moines (DSM) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:34 DSM → 12:45 DEN
    UA 5288 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 92 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip6h 46mORD 06:59 to DEN 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.