tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 23%

  1. 19:03 DSM → 20:58 ORD
    AA 4973 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 55% on time, 9.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 ORD → 23:54 LAS
    AA 1880 · American · 3h 55m · 47% on time, 8.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (9.7% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (8.1% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip6h 52mDSM 19:03 to LAS 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.