tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:49 DAY → 09:30 ORD
    AA 4974 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 41m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:17 ORD → 16:29 CLT
    AA 3280 · American · 2h 12m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 182 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 40mDAY 08:49 to CLT 16:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.