tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Atlanta via Phoenix: arrives on time 57%

  1. 14:15 FSD → 15:10 PHX
    AA 4991 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:11 PHX → 22:50 ATL
    AA 2391 · American · 3h 39m · 71% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Sioux Falls). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 35mFSD 14:15 to ATL 22:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.