tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Denver via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 24%

  1. 16:14 HOU → 17:38 DFW
    AA 5002 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 24m · 60% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 DFW → 19:41 DEN
    AA 2235 · American · 2h 11m · 46% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip4h 27mHOU 16:14 to DEN 19:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.