Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Nashville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 26%

  1. 16:14 HOU → 17:38 DFW
    AA 5002 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 24m · 60% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 36m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:14 DFW → 21:11 BNA
    AA 3169 · American · 1h 57m · 41% on time, 7.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 36m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (7.2% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip4h 57mHOU 16:14 to BNA 21:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.